Predictions [50]
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semis
| Confidence | Ticker | Claim | Target | Tags |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 90% |
|
- Boeing will issue a formal statement on the F-15EX contract and strike situation within one week. | grading due | aerospace-defense |
| 90% |
|
Palantir will announce at least one new major USG contract. | 38d | aerospace-defense, saas |
| 90% |
|
- Boeing will begin formalizing and initiating work on the $131B F-15 contract. | 7d | aerospace-defense |
| 90% |
|
Palantir will announce details of the USG material event from the 2026-08-03 8-K. | 38d | aerospace-defense, saas |
| 90% |
|
Lockheed Martin will announce further defense contract awards within 3 months. | 39d | aerospace-defense |
| 90% |
|
- Boeing will file an 8-K detailing F-15 contract specifics within 30 days. | grading due | aerospace-defense |
| 90% |
|
Boeing will issue a formal response to the FAA's 787 inspection mandate. | grading due | aerospace-defense |
| 85% |
|
- Award of further military contracts from the U.S. Department of War within 3 months. | 38d | aerospace-defense |
| 85% |
|
- The engineers' union will announce strike dates or a return to negotiations within two weeks. | grading due | aerospace-defense |
| 85% |
|
Palantir will increase hiring for USG-focused technical and program management roles. | 38d | aerospace-defense, saas |
| 85% |
|
- Boeing will announce F-15 production ramp-up plans within 3 months. (KSDK, 2026-08-25) | 38d | aerospace-defense |
| 85% |
|
Boeing will finalize F-15 production plans within 3 months. | 38d | aerospace-defense |
| 85% |
|
Lockheed Martin will announce further details or specific initiatives related to its digital-first interceptor production within 2 months. | 8d | aerospace-defense |
| 85% |
|
Boeing will announce specific plans to address the FAA's 787 inspection mandate and manage potential production disruptions within the next month. | grading due | aerospace-defense |
| 85% |
|
Lockheed Martin will disclose further details on the F-35 upgrade costs and funding within 60 days. | 7d | aerospace-defense |
| 85% |
|
Palantir will announce further details or expansions of its USG Maven program within 3 months. | 39d | aerospace-defense, saas |
| 85% |
|
Palantir will announce new USG contract details within 3 months (news, 2026-08-25). | 39d | aerospace-defense, saas |
| 80% |
|
Boeing will attempt to resolve the engineers' strike to ensure F-15 contract execution. | 38d | aerospace-defense |
| 80% |
|
Palantir will file another material event 8-K related to USG operations within the next 4 months. | 68d | aerospace-defense, saas |
| 80% |
|
Palantir will release new software related to autonomous systems command and control. | 69d | aerospace-defense, saas |
| 80% |
|
Boeing will publicly detail its strategy to mitigate the engineer strike threat and stabilize production. | 9d | aerospace-defense |
| 75% |
|
Boeing will announce initial F-15 contract execution plans, including hiring or facility updates. | 68d | aerospace-defense |
| 75% |
|
- Expect follow-on contracts for advanced interceptors within 3 months. | 38d | aerospace-defense |
| 75% |
|
- Strike negotiations will resume within 1 month. (chinadailyhk, 2026-08-21) | grading due | aerospace-defense |
| 75% |
|
- Boeing will attempt to negotiate a new contract with its engineers' union to avert the strike. | 7d | aerospace-defense |
| 75% |
|
The company will launch new digital/cybersecurity initiatives within 2 months. | 7d | aerospace-defense |
| 75% |
|
- Strike notice will be filed within 2 weeks if negotiations fail. | grading due | aerospace-defense |
| 75% |
|
Lockheed Martin will announce new cybersecurity initiatives or partnerships within the next 4 months. | 68d | aerospace-defense |
| 75% |
|
Palantir will increase hiring for government and autonomous systems roles within three months. | 38d | aerospace-defense, saas |
| 75% |
|
Boeing will announce a revised labor negotiation strategy or contingency plans for the threatened engineer strike within the next two weeks. | grading due | aerospace-defense |
| 75% |
|
Lockheed Martin will launch or announce a new product/service under the cyber.lockheedmartin.com domain. | 132d | aerospace-defense |
| 75% |
|
Palantir will announce new contract details or product features related to its autonomous systems C2 initiative within 4 months. | 70d | aerospace-defense, saas |
| 75% |
|
Boeing will announce its detailed plan to onboard contractor engineers and manage the strike fallout within the next month. | grading due | aerospace-defense |
| 70% |
|
The strike will cause at least one major production delay or project setback for Boeing. | 130d | aerospace-defense |
| 70% |
|
- Public disclosure of details or strategic rationale behind the recent material 8-K filings (2026-07-23) within 2 months. | 7d | aerospace-defense |
| 70% |
|
Lockheed Martin will file another material event disclosure within the next 60 days. | 6d | aerospace-defense |
| 70% |
|
Palantir will expand its security infrastructure team. | 130d | aerospace-defense, saas |
| 70% |
|
- Secure additional defense contracts related to digital systems by Q1 2027. | 130d | aerospace-defense |
| 70% |
|
Palantir will release additional open-source tools for AI infrastructure within 6 months (github, 2026-07-31). | 130d | aerospace-defense, saas |
| 70% |
|
Palantir will publicly detail a new AI product or major feature enhancement for its government or commercial platforms within 4 months. | 68d | aerospace-defense, saas |
| 70% |
|
Boeing will address the engineers' strike threat within 2 months. | 7d | aerospace-defense |
| 70% |
|
Palantir will file another material event 8-K within three months. | 38d | aerospace-defense, saas |
| 70% |
|
Boeing will announce specific production increase targets for its commercial aircraft division within the next two months. | 8d | aerospace-defense |
| 70% |
|
Lockheed Martin will announce new contracts or partnerships specifically for AI airspace monitoring or sea launch capabilities. | 39d | aerospace-defense |
| 70% |
|
Boeing will make a public statement or SEC filing detailing its formal response to the ongoing engineers' strike authorization within the next month. | grading due | aerospace-defense |
| 70% |
|
Boeing will file an 8-K clarifying the material event tied to the labor dispute or F-15 contract within the next two weeks. | grading due | aerospace-defense |
| 70% |
|
Boeing will finalize terms of the F-15 contract and disclose them in an SEC filing. | 41d | aerospace-defense |
| 65% |
|
Boeing will issue a public statement or SEC filing addressing the 737 cybersecurity vulnerability within the next 30 days. | grading due | aerospace-defense |
| 60% |
|
Lockheed Martin will launch or announce a new digital platform for investor relations or corporate communications. | 132d | aerospace-defense |
| 50% |
|
Palantir will release new tools or products related to the gradle-docs-distribution repository within 4 months. | 68d | aerospace-defense, saas |